Iran’s Assertive Posture Exposes the Limits of US Pressure Strategy
Washington’s Victory Narrative is Premature Despite President Donald Trump declaring Iran’s military “broken ,” the facts on the ground suggest otherwise. The conflicting messages—victory claims in private versus calls for continued war in public—expose a deeper issue: Washington’s pressure strategy has not compelled Tehran into submission. Instead, it has triggered an even more defiant Iranian posture. IRGC’s Oil Threat Could Reshape Global Energy Calculus The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps’s statement that Iran will decide when the war ends—and its threat to block the export of “one litre of oil”—is not mere rhetoric. It is a strategic reminder that Iran remains central to Gulf energy flows. Any Iranian attempt to disrupt shipping through the Strait of Hormuz would reverberate across global markets, raising costs from Asia to Europe. The IRGC’s message that security will be “for everyone or for no one” reflects a calibrated escalation strategy designed to pressure US allie...